Message-ID: <CAMUSX8r-GXiZEcL5QhYwr4rivtE9O3YrWHrLkadDByP6WgpUiA@mail.gmail.com>
Date: 2015-04-22T16:37:48Z
From: Temel İspanyolca
Subject: Basic structural time series
Hello
I try to forecast with BSM.
My data is in the annex.
I dont understand why my forecasting result very interesting.
You can see in annex (result.png)
I expect that forecasting result must be increasing
my code ;
(fit <- StructTS(log10(x), type = "BSM"))
plot(cbind(fitted(fit), resids=resid(fit)), main = "Data")
library(forecast)
plot(forecast(fit))
is there any idea?
Thanks
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