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[FORGED] Equality of two probabilities (proportions?)

On 11/02/17 00:27, mamuash bukana wrote:

            
In your original post you asked about whether the difference was 
"statistically significant".  As I suspected, the question is totally 
inappropriate.  The concept of "statistical significance" does not apply 
in this context.  There are no statistics; there are only calculations 
of probabilities.

As I said, you are out of your depth and need to learn the basics of the 
subject that you are trying to deal with.  Learn to walk before you try 
to run.  There are no short cuts to an understanding of probability and 
statistics.  A lot of hard graft is required.

Michael Dewey's suggestion of studying "scoring rules" or the "Brier 
score" might be useful to you, but you need to get the basic principles 
of the subject (probability and statistics) straight in your mind before 
you dive into these ideas.

As others have said, this issue is off topic for this list.

cheers,

Rolf Turner