Dear all,
I encounter some discrepancies when comparing the deviance of a weighted and
unweigthed model with the AIC values.
A general example (from 'nls'):
DNase1 <- subset(DNase, Run == 1)
fm1DNase1 <- nls(density ~ SSlogis(log(conc), Asym, xmid, scal), DNase1)
This is the unweighted fit, in the code of 'nls' one can see that 'nls'
generates a vector wts <- rep(1, n).
Now for a weighted fit:
fm2DNase1 <- nls(density ~ SSlogis(log(conc), Asym, xmid, scal), DNase1,
weights = rep(1:8, each = 2))
in which I assign dcreasing weights for each of the 8 concentrations with 2
replicates.
Now with 'deviance' I get:
deviance(fm1DNase1)
[1] 0.004789569
deviance(fm2DNase1)
[1] 0.0164259
Telling me that the weighted fit has a significantly higher deviance (is a
worse fit).
Now with AIC (or BIC) I get
AIC(fm1DNase1)
[1] -76.41642
AIC(fm2DNase1)
[1] -372.5437
Which tells me that the second fit is by orders of magnitude the better one.
Why so?
If I define AIC based on residual sum-of-squares as found in the textbooks
RSS <- function (object)
{
w <- object$weights
r <- residuals(object)
if (is.null(w))
w <- rep(1, length(r))
sum(w * residuals(object)^2)
}
AICrss <- function(object)
{
n <- nobs(object)
k <- length(coef(object))
rss <- RSS(object)
n * log((2 * pi)/n) + n + 2 + n * log(rss) + 2 * k
}
I get
AICrss(fm1DNase1)
[1] -76.41642
Which is the same value as the above AIC (stats:::AIC.logLik) based on
log-likelihood
but
AICrss(fm2DNase1)
[1] -56.69772
which is higher and fits perfectly to the also higher deviance of the second
model.
Could anyone enlighten me? Is the standard AIC implementation for 'nls'
models not appliccable in case of weighted fitting?
Cheers,
Andrej
___________________________
Dr. rer. nat. Andrej-Nikolai Spiess
Department of Andrology
University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf
Martinistr. 52
20246 Hamburg
phone: +49-40-7410-51585
fax: +49-40-7410-51554
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