Anyone Familiar with Using arima function with exogenous variables?
Spencer Graves wrote:
Have you tried reading predict.Arima? Do you have any references that compute a simple numerical example? I believe there is one in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel, but I don't have time to research it. Hope this helps. spencer graves
There does not appear to be any relevant information in predict.Arima concerning xreg. I tried using arima to estimate the sales data (Series M in Box and Jenkins) using the leading indicator. I think I estimated the same model correctly. The AR and MA coefficients roughly agreed but the intercept and coefficient for the leading indicator were very different. The intercept was 10 times too large (approximately) and the coefficient for the leading indicator was about 1/10 of that shown in B&J. So far I haven't located any simple examples to try. Thanks. Rick B.