A general question about using Bayes' Theorem for calculating the probability of The End of Human Technological Civilisation

Just curious -- if R-help is a moderated list (which? in theory , it is 
-- my posts have been 'modertated', to the degree that they aren't 
released to the list until someone approves them), and if these 
'statistics discussion' questions are inappropriate to the mission (as 
described), then...why isn't the 'moderator' (him/her/they) blocking on 
submission?

Rhelp is not a forum for discussions of statistics. Instead it is for 
persons who have specific questions about the use of R.

Please read the list info page where you started the subscription 
process. And do read the Posting Guide. Both these are linked at the 
bottom of this response.

There are Web accessible forums that are set up to statistics.