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Likelihood between observed and predicted response

Christophe LOOTS <Christophe.Loots <at> ifremer.fr> writes:
mu is the mean (which you might as well set to the
predicted value).  sd is the standard deviation; in order
to calculate the likelihood in this case, you'll need an
*independent* estimate (from somewhere) of the standard
deviation.  Without thinking about it too carefully I think
you could probably get this from sqrt(sum((predicted-observed)^2)/(n-1))
....