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what does this warnings mean? and what should I do?

1 message · Bert Gunter

#
Spencer:

(warning: highly biased, personal opinions)

My $.02
Quite right. Design is the cause; overfitting/identifiability is the
symptom.
Well, this might work, but it's also a prescription for overfitting a highly
biased model.

What he really needs to do is carefully rethink. What is a parsimonious
model given the data at hand? Unfortunately, this is far from a trivial
issue. Model choice for nonlinear model fitting is conceptually and
statistically difficult.

IMHO, the tendency to overfit mechanistically motivated models with
insufficient, poorly designed data is a ubiquitous scientific practice,
rarely understood by scientists (due to the complexity). As a result, there
are a lot of questionable results published in peer-reviewed literature.
Eventually it gets sorted out, but it can take a while. See Kuhn and
Feyerabend, for example.

Always enjoy your comments. Keep 'em coming.

-- Bert