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non-R probability question

2 messages · Jonathan Baron, Martin Maechler

Jonathan Baron
# 
The best article, by far, on this off-topic topic is:

Nickerson, Raymond S. Ambiguities and unstated assumptions in
probabilistic reasoning. Psychological Bulletin. Vol 120(3), Nov
1996, 410-433.

Jonathan Baron, Professor of Psychology, University of Pennsylvania
Home page: http://www.sas.upenn.edu/~baron

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Martin Maechler
# 
Jonathan> The best article, by far, on this off-topic topic is:

    Jonathan> Nickerson, Raymond S. Ambiguities and unstated assumptions in
    Jonathan> probabilistic reasoning. Psychological Bulletin. Vol 120(3),
    Jonathan> Nov 1996, 410-433.
(don't know yet the above)

The topic also runs under "The Goat Problem",
and in German, there's even a nice little book

 @Book{vRaG92,
   author = 	 {Gero von Randow},
   title = 	 {Das Ziegenproblem; Denken in Wahrscheinlichkeiten},
   language = {g},
   publisher = 	 {Rowolt Taschenbuch Verlag},
   year = 	 1992
 }


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