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Getting forecast values using DCC GARCH fit

1 message · Dhivya Narayanasamy

#
Hi,
I am completely new to GARCH models and trying to fit a multivariate time
series model using DCC GARCH model and forecast it.

The data looks like this:
x   vibration_x     Speed
1 2017-05-16 17:53:00      -0.132  421.4189
2 2017-05-16 17:54:00      -0.296 1296.8882
3 2017-05-16 17:55:00      -0.572    0.0000
4 2017-05-16 17:56:00      -0.736 1254.2695
5 2017-05-16 17:57:00       0.000    0.0000
6 2017-05-16 17:58:00       0.000    0.0000
variance.model = list(garchOrder = c(1,1),
                                          model = "sGARCH"),
distribution.model = "norm")
),
                  dccOrder = c(1,1), distribution = "mvnorm")
fit.control = list(eval.se=T))
May I know how to get the forecast values from 'dcc.focast' ? when i plot
the model using,
I get different plots such as.
Make a plot selection (or 0 to exit):

1:   Conditional Mean (vs Realized Returns)
2:   Conditional Sigma (vs Realized Absolute Returns)
3:   Conditional Covariance
4:   Conditional Correlation
5:   EW Portfolio Plot with conditional density VaR limits

May i know what i should do with "Conditional covariance" and "conditional
correlation" forecast. I know this is for volatility prediction. I am
interested to know what things i can interpret from this conditional
covariance ?

 Any help is much appreciated. Thanks.,

Regards
Dhivya