Hi,
I am completely new to GARCH models and trying to fit a multivariate time
series model using DCC GARCH model and forecast it.
The data looks like this:
fit.a = dccfit(dcc.garch11.spec, data = datax[,c(2,3)], out.sample = 100,
fit.control = list(eval.se=T))
dcc.focast=dccforecast(fit.a, n.ahead = 100)
May I know how to get the forecast values from 'dcc.focast' ? when i plot
the model using,
plot(dcc.focast, which = 1)
I get different plots such as.
Make a plot selection (or 0 to exit):
1: Conditional Mean (vs Realized Returns)
2: Conditional Sigma (vs Realized Absolute Returns)
3: Conditional Covariance
4: Conditional Correlation
5: EW Portfolio Plot with conditional density VaR limits
May i know what i should do with "Conditional covariance" and "conditional
correlation" forecast. I know this is for volatility prediction. I am
interested to know what things i can interpret from this conditional
covariance ?
Any help is much appreciated. Thanks.,
Regards
Dhivya