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Arima

2 messages · Pascal GRANDEAU, Brian Ripley

#
I did a regression with ARMA errors using arima0 with
   ari<-arima0(y,order=c(2,0,2),xreg=reg1,delta=-1)
or
   ari<-arima0(y,order=c(2,0,2),xreg=reg1)
where reg1 is the matrix of the regressors and when I see diag(ari$var.coef)
I get negative terms. Do you know what this mean ?

I try to change transform.pars to 0 or 1 but this crash R on Windows.

Is it possible to test the significativity of the estimators obtained by
arima0 and how ?

I use arima0 because I have regressors and it seems it is impossible to uses
arma() in tseries with regressors.

Does anyone make a routine for regression with ARMA errors with least
squares ?

Another question : how can I handle missing values in regression with ARMA
errors with R ?

Thank you very much.

Pascal GRANDEAU

PS : do you know if there exist companies making formations on R in France ?

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#
On Sun, 16 Dec 2001, Pascal Grandeau wrote:

            
The optimizer failed to converge, probably. You did check the
convergence value in the fitted object, didn't you?
Well, transform.pars=2 first runs transform.pars=1, so this is strange.
But probably your model is inappropriate.
Well, first you need to get it to converge. Then you can use Wald tests or
(better) likelihood ratio tests.  The log-likelihood is in the fitted
object.
What does that mean? `with least squares' implies independent errors.
arma() fits by so-called *conditional* least squares: that leaves out
terms in the log-likelihood which can be important, especially near
non-stationarity. I've never understood why anyone would want to do that,
except as a poor man's computational approximation.
As yet there are very limited possibilties: see e.g. na.contiguous.

You might want to investigate the dse bundle.