repeated measures NMDS?
On Thu, 2010-11-11 at 13:03 +0100, Kay Cecil Cichini wrote:
thanks a lot for the illustrative example. ..referring to your quote: "...This of course doesn't account for any temporal correlation within sites nor, if the observations on the 24 blocks were made at the same times, that you might want to have the same permutation within each block. In the former there are 3^24 possible permutations (time series within blocks), so 999 random perms is reasonable, *but* some of these random perms (in permuted.index()) will not respect the temporal ordering and thus you aren't really exploring the correct NULL. With the latter constraint (same temporal perm within blocks), there are 3 random permutations, so good luck getting a reasonable p-value from that." ..so for the time beeing we assume the former case - and for the latter there is no way out.
Yes - for the case of wanting the same temporal permutation within each block there only are 3 permutations (6 if you allow time to go backwards [mirror = TRUE]), but this includes the observed ordering, so only 2 (5) other permutations to try. This is where permutation tests fail. If the observed statistic is bigger than the statistic from the two random permutations, this is an exact statistic in the sense that you've evaluated all possible orderings consistent with the null, but all you can is that the p-value is p < 0.333. Having said that, we can perhaps try to be reasonable and relax some of the assumptions (how often do our data fully meet all the assumptions of the parametric statistical approaches we use?) and be happy with a null that respects temporal autocorrelation within block, but not across blocks. One might then choose to accept as a significant result a permutation p that is say p <= 0.01 or even p <= 0.001, rather than the usual p <= 0.05, to help guard against using the wrong Null.
yours, kay ps: in germany/austria there are two alternative spellings for the name kai/kay - beeing a male name opposed to the english kay.
I am truly sorry for my mistake - please accept my apologies. Totally unintentional I assure you. All the best, G
Gavin Simpson schrieb:
[Apologies - I replied with this only to Kay. Hopefully she won't mind receiving it twice!] On Thu, 2010-11-11 at 10:32 +0100, Kay Cecil Cichini wrote:
thanks a lot for your elaborations. of course, envfit(..,strata=rep.mes) does it. then, at least, i consider it exercise for other cases, were you really might need a handmade permutation so, as to round this off, i actually can't analyse this very design in such a way, with the right NULL concerned - but were to go from here?
You could hook up the code in 'permute'. It contains a new
permuted.index() function (and currently no NAMESPACE, so will overwrite
(mask) the vegan version if loaded after vegan) which will break all the
permutation code in vegan).
Here is your example, modified to use the code in permute. I post this
to illustrate how you'd use the new code. There are lots of examples
in ?permuted.index (for the permute package, not the vegan package
version), but *don't* touch the permutation t-test example code as it
uses permCheck() and it might call allPerms() and allPerms() *IS*
*WRONG* for some designs --- this is the last bit I need to fix/get
working before we can make our first release of this code.
HTH
G
Here's the example script:
## Load packages
require(vegan)
require(permute)
## Data
set.seed(123)
sp <- matrix(runif(24*3*5, 0, 100), nrow = 24 * 3, ncol = 5)
env <- rnorm(24*3, 10, 2)
rep.mes <- gl(24, 3)
### NMDS:
sol <- metaMDS(sp, trymax = 5)
fit <- envfit(sol~env, permutations = 0) ## perms now won't work!
B <- 999 ## number of perms
### setting up frame for population of r2 values:
pop <- rep(NA, B + 1)
pop[1] <- fit$vectors$r
## set-up a Control object:
ctrl <- permControl(strata = rep.mes,
within = Within(type = "series", mirror = FALSE))
## we turn off mirroring as time should only flow in one direction
## Number of observations
nobs <- nrow(sp)
## check it works
matrix(permuted.index(nobs, control = ctrl), ncol = 3, byrow = TRUE)
## Yep - Phew!!!
### loop:
set.seed(1)
for(i in 2:(B+1)){
idx <- permuted.index(nobs, control = ctrl)
fit.rand <- envfit(sol ~ env[idx], permutations = 0)
pop[i] <- fit.rand$vectors$r
}
### p-value:
pval <- sum(pop >= pop[1]) / (B + 1)
pval
I get:
pval
[1] 0.286 Now to compare with the actual permutation you'd have gotten from env.fit, you first need: detach(package:permute) Then run:
set.seed(1) fit2 <- envfit(sol~env, permutations = 999, strata = rep.mes) fit2
***VECTORS
NMDS1 NMDS2 r2 Pr(>r)
env 0.28727 0.95785 0.0315 0.321
P values based on 999 permutations, stratified within strata.
a simplistic approach could be, averaging sites, yielding n=24 for further testing. yours, kay Gavin Simpson schrieb:
On Thu, 2010-11-11 at 09:50 +0100, Kay Cecil Cichini wrote:
gavin, sorry - of course it should be permute.strata=F, permuting within individual sites! but despite of this the code should work, doesn't it?
Yes, it should - i.e the permutation will be random within the blocks. Whether it does or not is another matter entirely. AFAICR, this option in permuted.index2() did work. *But*, this is doing exactly what the original permuted.index() does if you set argument 'strata' to be the grouping factor - in your case: envfit(sol ~ env, strata = rep.mes, perm = 999) for example. So there is no need to code up the analysis by hand. This of course doesn't account for any temporal correlation within sites nor, if the observations on the 24 blocks were made at the same times, that you might want to have the same permutation within each block. In the former there are 3^24 possible permutations (time series within blocks), so 999 random perms is reasonable, *but* some of these random perms (in permuted.index()) will not respect the temporal ordering and thus you aren't really exploring the correct NULL. With the latter constraint (same temporal perm within blocks), there are 3 random permutations, so good luck getting a reasonable p-value from that. The two restricted permutations /should/ work correctly, /but/ if you are doing this by hand, I'd look at the functions in the 'permute' package - only on R-Forge, on the Vegan R-Forge area - as I know the code to generate these permutations in that package *does* work. (It is the helper cruft around it that needs more work.) https://r-forge.r-project.org/R/?group_id=68 I've had a busy Summer and not made as much progress as I would have liked, but I hope to finish this soon and make an initial release to CRAN so we can start grafting it into vegan. In the meantime, I can help people try to link the two packages if needed, but I don't have much time till the end of this month. G
thanks, kay Gavin Simpson schrieb:
On Wed, 2010-11-10 at 23:33 +0100, Kay Cecil Cichini wrote:
hi eduard, i faced similar problems recently and came to the below solution. i only try to address the pseudoreplication with an appropiate permutation scheme. when it comes to testing the interactions, things may get more complicated. the code is in no way approven of, but at least it maybe good enough for a starter. best, kay
Hi Kay, I don't think you have this right. If you have measured repeatedly, say 5 times, on the same 10 individuals, or if you have ten fields and you take 5 quadrats from each, you need to permute *within* the individuals/fields, not permute the individuals/fields which is what permute.strata does. permute.strata would be useful in evaluating factors that vary at the block (individuals/fields) level, not at the sample levels. From what Eduard and you describe, the code you show is not the correct permutation. But I may have misunderstood your intention. Also, be careful with permuted.index2 - there are reasons why it hasn't been integrated (design goals changed and we felt it would work best in a separate package that others could draw upon without loading all of vegan) and the code has festered a bit and may contain bugs - buyer beware! G
library(vegan) ### species matrix with 5 sp. ### one env.variable ### a factor denoting blocks of repeated measurments sp<-matrix(runif(24*3*5,0,100),24*3,5) env<-rnorm(24*3,10,2) rep.mes<-gl(24,3) ### NMDS: sol<-metaMDS(sp,trymax=5) fit<-envfit(sol~env) plot(sol) plot(fit) ### testing code for appropiate randomization, ### permuting blocks of 3 as a whole: permuted.index2(nrow(sp),permControl(strata = rep.mes,permute.strata=T))
correctly, this should say: ### testing code for appropiate randomization, ### permuting within sites: permuted.index2(nrow(sp),permControl(strata = rep.mes))
B=4999 ### setting up frame for population of r2 values: pop<-rep(NA,B+1) pop[1]<-fit$vectors$r
and:
### loop:
for(i in 2:(B+1)){
fit.rand<-envfit(sol~env[permuted.index2(nrow(sp),
permControl(strata = rep.mes))])
pop[i]<-fit.rand$vectors$r
}
### p-value:
>> print(pval<-sum(pop>pop[1])/B+1)
here a bracket was missing: print(pval<-sum(pop>pop[1])/(B+1))
### compare to anti-conservative p-value from envfit(), ### not restricting permutations: envfit(sol~env,perm=B) Zitat von Eduard Sz?cs <szoe8822 at uni-landau.de>:
Thanks, that helped. permuted.index2() generates these types of permutations. But envfit() does not use this yet. What if I modify vectorfit() (used by envfit() ) in such a way that it uses permuted.index2() instead of permuted.index()? Eduard Sz?cs Am 08.11.2010 22:01, schrieb Gavin Simpson:
On Mon, 2010-11-08 at 15:39 +0100, Eduard Sz?cs wrote:
Hi listers, I have species and environmental data for 24 sites that were sampled thrice. If I want to analyze the data with NMDS I could run metaMDS on the whole dataset (24 sites x 3 times = 72) and then fit environmental data, but this would be some kind of pseudoreplication given that the samplings are not independent and the gradients may be overestimated, wouldn`t it? For environmental data a factor could be included for the sampling dates - but this would not be possible for species data. Is there an elegant way either to aggregate data before ordination or to conduct sth. like a repeated measures NMDS? Thank you in advance, Eduard Sz?cs
Depends on how you want to fit the env data - the pseudo-replication isn't relevant o the nMDS. If you are doing it via function `envfit()`, then look at argument `'strata'` which should, in your case, be set to a factor with 24 levels. This won't be perfect because your data are a timeseries and, strictly, one should permute them whilst maintaining their ordering in time, but as yet we don't have these types of permutations hooked into vegan. If you are doing the fitting some other way you'll need to include "site" as a fixed effect factor to account for the within site correlation. You don't need to worry about the species data and accounting for sampling interval. You aren't testing the nMDS "axes" or anything like that, and all the species info has been reduced to dissimilarities and thence to a set of nMDS coordinates. You need to account for the pseudo rep at the environmental modelling level, not the species level. HTH G
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