VaR with ARMA and Garch
From: Ludovic Mbakop Yopa
Sent: Saturday, January 17, 2015 3:12 PM
To: r-sig-finance at r-project.org
Subject: VaR with ARMA and Garch
Sent: Saturday, January 17, 2015 3:12 PM
To: r-sig-finance at r-project.org
Subject: VaR with ARMA and Garch
Good Evening, I am Ludovic , please I would like to compute the 1 day ahead VaR for a timeseries of returns. i would also like the innovations of the Arma and Garch to have a MNTS distributions . i know the first step looks like t2= garchFit(formula = ~arma(1, 1) + garch(1, 1), data = RBK, cond.dist = "") Please what should the next steps be should i use t3=predict(t2, n.ahead = )? how do i specify the MNTS distribution into the the garchfit function what is the difference between Predict and Fitted . Please how do i get The 1?day ahead VaR Thank you for your time best Regards. Ludovic luyo13ab at student.cbs.dk<mailto:luyo13ab at student.cbs.dk>