Cramer vs. Pseudo-Cramer, etc.
Newly on the Burns Statistics website is: Cramer vs. Pseudo-Cramer http://www.burns-stat.com/pages/Working/cramer_vs_pseudocramer.pdf A recent Barron's article examined the efficacy of stock recommendations on the television show Mad Money. Statistical analyses of stock recommendations are scrutinized here in detail, and a powerful analysis using random portfolios is suggested. Differences between simple returns and log returns are discussed, as is the usefulness of the statistical bootstrap. The cost to individuals of trading stocks can easily overwhelm even quite good recommendations. ------------------------------------------------------------- Patrick Burns will be speaking at a couple of upcoming events in London: October 24: One description is that it is an advertisement for R and Monte Carlo techniques in risk management. November 13-15: Quant Invest conference. Links for these events can be found on the Finance page: http://www.burns-stat.com/pages/finance.html -------------------------------------------------------------- http://www.burns-stat.com/pages/Tutor/spreadsheet_addiction.html has been been updated to include a link to a discussion of a humorous (to some) numerical bug in Excel 2007. Patrick Burns patrick at burns-stat.com +44 (0)20 8525 0696 http://www.burns-stat.com