Adding external regressors on conditional variance model
Hi, The answer is yes and yes. Add variable(s) lagged. Best, Alexios
On 20/08/2015 14:57, Assis Duraes wrote:
Hi, first of all I would like to thanks for the rugarch package. it is really useful and a very nice package. I am investigating the effect of external variables on conditional variance models forecasts. more specifically, I am would like to check if the addition of implied volatility and realized variance as external regressors on a GJR (1,1) model somehow enhance the daily volatility forecasts of it. Looking for a tool to help modelling it I found the rugarch package, and started looking into it. In fact, at this point, I believe I have a very basic question. but did not find an answer on previous posts or in the package documentation. Should I inform the external regressors matrix in model spec already lagged or not? I imagine, yes, since I did not find in any place where specify the lags for those regressors, but would like to confirm. In case affirmative, If I want to use a same variable with different lags I need to inform it multiple times, obviously with different lags, in external.regressors matrix, correct? My apologies in advance if it is explained somewhere, but as I explained, i search without much success.. Thanks in advance for any help with that, Assis. [[alternative HTML version deleted]]
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