I have used garchFit to estimate several arma(p,q) garch(1,1) models .
To check that I had understood the instructions I extracted
original series (x)
residuals (resid)
fit (xhat)
estimated variance (sigmasq)
and the coefficient estimates
omega
alpha1
beta1
I then tried to verify that
sigmasq = omega + alpha1 * (resid(-1))^2 +beta1 * sigmasq(-1)
In general I find a small error which looks to me to be too large and
in the to be due to rounding. They also have the same sign throughout
the sample. (4967 daily observations). A sample of the knd of results
that I am getting is below. Am I missing something or has anyone else
the same problem
Best Regards
John
temp=cbind(fit4.ngarch at data$x,fit4.ngarch at residuals,fit4.ngarch at fitted,