rugarch VaR calculation "manually"
On 05/08/2013 06:06 AM, Neuman Co wrote:
I want to use all observations for my fitting and then do one step ahead in sample predictions.
There is no such thing as a one step ahead in-sample *prediction*. Please stop and think a moment about how absurd that is before you waste more of everyone's time. At each time t, I may make a prediction for time t+1 ugarchroll will give you a set of rolling one or n step ahead *predictions*, as Alexios has also already told you. If you want the in-sample *estimate* from the fitted model values (it is not a prediction), then you want the 'fitted' and 'sigma' values, as Alexios has told you at least twice now. ...and I still don't see you signing your name. Brian
Brian G. Peterson http://braverock.com/brian/ Ph: 773-459-4973 IM: bgpbraverock