question related to fixed parameters in "rugarch" package
The fact that ar3 is not 0 is a bug. Will look into it and release a fix soon. Thanks, Alexios
On 27/09/2011 23:18, johnzli at comcast.net wrote:
Dear all:
I am trying to learn how to use "rugarch" package for ARIMA + sGARCH modeling. When I tried to fix some parameters (statistically insignificant coefficients), I got the following output:
*---------------------------------*
* GARCH Model Fit *
*---------------------------------*
Conditional Variance Dynamics
-----------------------------------
GARCH Model : sGARCH(1,1)
Mean Model : ARFIMA(4,0,0)
Distribution : std
Optimal Parameters
------------------------------------
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
ar1 0.000000 NA NA NA
ar2 0.630141 0.024459 25.7627 0.0e+00
ar3 0.085549 NA NA NA
ar4 -0.244984 0.022802 -10.7439 0.0e+00
omega 0.004524 0.001050 4.3097 1.6e-05
alpha1 0.266026 0.045341 5.8672 0.0e+00
beta1 0.569310 0.070464 8.0795 0.0e+00
shape 7.382851 0.898399 8.2178 0.0e+00
Robust Standard Errors:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
ar1 0.000000 NA NA NA
ar2 0.630141 0.028354 22.2244 0.000000
ar3 0.085549 NA NA NA
ar4 -0.244984 0.027248 -8.9908 0.000000
omega 0.004524 0.001524 2.9696 0.002982
alpha1 0.266026 0.060709 4.3820 0.000012
beta1 0.569310 0.107354 5.3031 0.000000
shape 7.382851 1.443335 5.1151 0.000000
LogLikelihood : 1165.098
Information Criteria
------------------------------------
And here is the code:
spec<- ugarchspec(variance.model = list(model = "sGARCH", garchOrder = c(1,1)), mean.model = list(armaOrder = c(4, 0), include.mean = FALSE), distribution.model = "std", start.pars = startPar, fixed.pars = list(ar1 = 0,ar3 = 0))fit<- ugarchfit(data = myData, spec = spec1, solver = "nlminb")
Is it true that the coefficients for ar1 and ar3 should be 0.0 or set to NA?
Your help will be appreciated.
John Li
(224) 372-7082
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