PerformanceAnalytics - Style Analysis
Yes there is a way to compute standard errors and get t-statistics. It's called the delta method and it would be very easy to implement in the present context. -----Original Message----- From: Thomas Etheber [mailto:etheber at gmx.de] Sent: Wednesday, August 04, 2010 11:58 AM To: Guy Yollin Cc: Eric Zivot; r-sig-finance at stat.math.ethz.ch; brian at braverock.com Subject: Re: [R-SIG-Finance] PerformanceAnalytics - Style Analysis Dear list, finally I got the chance to have a look at your code. Basically I agree, it implements what Eric has suggested. I just changed to lines: <<< # perform constrained regression lm.con = lm(y.new ~ 0 + x.new ) # solve for b1.hat b1.hat = 1 - sum( coef(lm.con) ) <<< I think it is clearer and more convenient. Indeed the coefficients are restricted to sum to unity now, but is there a way to test the restricted coefficients for significance, i.e. something like a t-statistic or p-values for the single coefficients and not F-Stats for the whole model? Can we perhaps use the t- and p-values from the lm.con model? Regards, Thomas Am 29.06.2010 16:55, schrieb Guy Yollin:
Guys, Not sure about any package updates but based on Eric's description, I
think the constrained regression looks something like this:
conReg = function(R.fund,R.style)
{
# make LHS and RHS matrices
y = as.matrix(R.fund)
x = as.matrix(R.style)
# subtract x1 from both sides for constrained regression
x1 = x[,1]
y.new = y - x1
x.new = x[,-1] - x1
# perform constrained regression
lm.con = lm(y.new ~ x.new - 1)
# solve for b1.hat
b1.hat = tail(cumsum(c(1,-1*coef(lm.con))),1)
con.coef = c(b1.hat,coef(lm.con))
names(con.coef) = colnames(x)
# calc fitted values
y.hat = x %*% con.coef
# compute R2
resid = y - y.hat
tss<- sum(y^2)
rss<- sum(resid^2)
R2 = 1-rss/tss
# return results
con.mod = list(coefficients =
con.coef,fitted.values=y.hat,residuals=resid,r.squared=R2)
return(con.mod) } # compare constrained regression with quadratic programming data(edhec) data(managers) sf = style.fit(managers[97:132,2,drop=FALSE],edhec[85:120,],
method="constrained", leverage=FALSE)
cr = conReg(R.fund=managers[97:132,2,drop=FALSE],R.style=edhec[85:120,]) par(mfrow=c(2,1)) barplot(sf$weights[,1],names.arg=rownames(sf$weights),las=2,cex.names=0.5) barplot(cr$coefficients,las=2,cex.names=0.5) Perhaps this will help you out in the near term. Best, -- G -----Original Message----- From: r-sig-finance-bounces at stat.math.ethz.ch
[mailto:r-sig-finance-bounces at stat.math.ethz.ch] On Behalf Of Thomas Etheber
Sent: Tuesday, June 29, 2010 3:06 AM To: Eric Zivot Cc: r-sig-finance at stat.math.ethz.ch; brian at braverock.com Subject: Re: [R-SIG-Finance] PerformanceAnalytics - Style Analysis Dear Eric, dear Brian, thank you for your helpful comments and your regression example below. I just updated my R distribution and I am now running: R: version 2.11.1 (2010-05-31) PerformanceAnalytics: version 1.0.2.1 It seems that your bugfix for the constrained StyleAnalyiss is not yet included in the new PerformanceAnalytics. Maybe the timespan between your fix and the release of PerformanceAnalytics 1.0.2.1 in mid April was too short to include it. Eric, if you have fixed the code already, could you please send it to me? Maybe I can include the code in my actual project, so that I don't have to wait for the next release of the package. Regards, Thomas Am 23.03.2010 18:59, schrieb Eric Zivot:
You are right. The correct way to enforce that the regression
coefficients
sum to unity is to impose this in the regression instead of just
normalizing
the coefficients to sum to unity. It is not difficult to do this because
it
is a linear restriction and the restriction can be substituted into the linear regression to create another linear regression. I was supposed to
add
this fix to the style.fit() function last year. I'll do it now and send
the
fix off to Brian so he can put it in the PerformanceAnalytics package. Briefly, consider the simple linear regression Y = x1*b1 + x2*b2 + e The restriction to impose is b1 + b2 = 1. Equivalently, b1 = 1 - b2. Substituting into the regression gives Y = x1*(1 - b2) + x2*b2 + e = x1 + b2*(x2 - x1) + e => Y - x1 = b2*(x2
- x1)
+ e Therefore, the linear regression to run to impose the restriction b1+b2 =
1
is (Y - x1) = b2*(x2 - x1) + e Once you have b2.hat, then just solve for b1 using the constraint: b1.hat
=
1 - b2.hat. (Note that it doesn't matter if you define the restriction in terms of b1 = 1 - b2 or b2 = 1 - b1.) Of course, to get the right R2 you have to base it on Y as the dependent variable and not Y - x1. That is, compute the R2 from the fitted values Y.hat = b1.hat*x1 + b2.hat*x2 Where b1.hat and b2.hat are the restricted least squares coefficients. Eric Zivot Professor and Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar Department of Economics Adjunct Professor of Finance Adjunct Professor of Statistics Box 353330 email: ezivot at u.washington.edu University of Washington phone: 206-543-6715 Seattle, WA 98195-3330 www: http://faculty.washington.edu/ezivot -----Original Message----- From: r-sig-finance-bounces at stat.math.ethz.ch [mailto:r-sig-finance-bounces at stat.math.ethz.ch] On Behalf Of Thomas
Etheber
Sent: Tuesday, March 23, 2010 4:03 AM
To: r-sig-finance at stat.math.ethz.ch
Subject: [R-SIG-Finance] PerformanceAnalytics - Style Analysis
Dear List,
I had a look at the code of the PerformanceAnalytics package and I use
this package on a regular basis.
The style.fit function for Style Analysis provides thrree supported
methods, which can be chosen via a parameter. I am talking of the
normalized method here. This method requires the regression coefficients
to sum to 1.
Indeed the code in Version 1.0.0 says something like this:
[... Default implementation ...]
column.weights = as.data.frame(coef(column.lm))
[...]
if (method == "normalized") {
column.weights = column.weights/sum(column.weights)
}
I suppose here we are just scaling the coefficients to sum to 1, in my
view the regression should a priori deal with this restriction (some
sort of constrained regression or the like).
At least if you look at Tabel 2 of Sharpe (1992) the coefficients do not
support the actual implementation and I think somebody might want to
have a look at this code fragment.
Unfortunately I do not know how to implement this kind of restricted
regression in R, but I believe there are already ways of doing this.
Perhaps somebody from the list can guide us to the right direction.
Anyway great thx to the authors of this packkage!
Thomas
PS: In Stata the right command seems to be cnsreg.
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