Creating a VCEM data generating process
Thank you so much for this. If you dont have any problem, can you please send them here ron_michael70 at yahoo.com ? Thanks and regards,
statquant wrote:
HI: I have to go out so I can't say much but? I wouldn't jump right to lutkepohl. it's hard to visualize/understanding the matrix case.? I would think of the bivariate case and then extend it after undersatanding that.? take the simpler bivariate case ( this is taken directly from eric zivot's S+Finmetrics book ). generate y_2t = y_2t-1 + v_t where v_t is normal zero whatever. then let y_1t = b2*y_2t + u_t where u_t is normal zero whatever. This is a cointegrated system with cointegrating vector (1,-b2). you can simulate this to visualize the behavior of y_1 and y_2 over time. If you don't have eric's book, I can fax you the two pages tomorrow. Generally speaking, unless you're quite familar with this material, I would start out with something along the level of Eric's book or Enders and then go to Lutkepohl after that. I really gotta run. Hopefully someone else can help you more but let me know if you want me to fax you the pages. it's 421-428 if you have the book. On Jun 28, 2009, RON70 <ron_michael70 at yahoo.com> wrote: Thanks Statquant for this reply, however it is still not clear. Suppose I have following theoretical DGP : deltaY[t] = alpha + PI * Y[t-1] + A1 * deltaY[t-1] + A2 * deltaY[t-2] + A3 * deltaY[t-3] + epsilon[t] Next suppose, I have chosen some particular matrices as coefficient matrices and taken them as population value. However how can I make it sure that DGP has some unit root, with those arbitrarily chosen coef. matrices? My finding was that, if I chose some arbitrary matrices and then solve the ch. equation, I do not get some solutions as 1 and rests are outside the range [-1, 1]. The steps that I thought of are : 1. Choose some matrices for alpha, PI, A1, A2, A3 (I need to find those!!!) such that ch. equation gives some roots as "1" & rests are outside the range [-1, 1]. 2. Generate 1,000 realizations each with size 100 (say) 3. For each realization, re-estimate the coefficients. 4. Analyze the distribution of the coef. Someone might find it as homework, however it is not. Currently I am studying Lutkepohl and some asymptotic dist. are discussed here. I want to get some empirical match. Any idea? statquant wrote: > > hi ron : the simple vecm is 1) delta y_t = delta x_t + alpha(y_t-1 - > beta*x_t-1) + epsilon_yt? ( but check this to make sure ). so, first > generate x_t's that are I(1) by generating x_t = x_t -1 + epsilon_xt Then. > given the x_t's,? pick some beta and an an alpha, and generate the y_t's > based? on 1). this will give you y_t and x_t? that are I(1) and > cointegrated by definition. the multi vecm is more complex but the idea is > the same. On Jun 28, 2009, RON70 &lt; ron_michael70 at yahoo.com &gt; wrote: Hi > all, Can anyone here please help me how to create a DGP which corresponds > to VECM (Vector error correction) ? Actually I want to define a arbitrary > VECM as a DGP and then study the properties of it's realizations. However > I can not construct an arbitrary VECM from my own, especially it's > coefficients, which lead to strictly I(1) process of individual variable. > Thanks and regards, -- View this message in context: > http://www.nabble.com/Creating-a-VCEM-data-generating-process-tp24243230p24243230.html > Sent from the Rmetrics mailing list archive at Nabble.com. >
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