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News impact curves for various GARCH models in the rugarch-package

4 messages · Johannes Moser, Alexios Ghalanos, Alec Schmidt

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Dear all,

I'm working with the really nice "rugarch"-package and currently have an 
issue with respect to the news impact curves (NIC).

In an attempt to plot several NIC into the same plot I realized that 
while the NIC for the sGARCH, the gjrGARCH and the eGARCH are given with 
respect to the epsilon_{t-1}, the NICs for the submodels of the fGARCH 
model are given in terms of z_{t-1}.

Firstly I am a bit confused since just like the fGARCH model, the eGARCH 
model (as to the eGARCH-model-setup in the vignette) is also given in 
terms of the z_{t-k} , k={1,...,q}.
But nevertheless the NIC of the eGARCH is given in terms of epsilon_{t-1} .
At least this is what the "newsimpact(fit)"-output tells me.
Why is it this way for the eGARCH but not for the fGARCH?

Secondly I'd like to have the NIC of all the different models depending 
on the epsilon_{t-1} for better comparison.
So for the fGARCH case I thought about calculating the epsilon_{t-1} 
values given the z_{t-1} values and the conditional mean and volatility.
Is this a good idea or is there an important reason why the NICs for the 
fGARCH submodels are NOT given this way?

Many thanks and kind regards,
Johannes
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After having slept on it for a nightI now think that both the fGARCH 
submodels (I am especially interested in the NAGARCH) and the eGARCH 
model have a NIC that has to be expressed in terms of the z_{t-1} since 
in both cases the effect of epsilon_{t-1} on sigma_t does depend on 
sigma_{t-1} which is of course nonconstant.

But as stated before, the "newsimpact(fit)"-output of the eGARCH model 
tells me that here the NIC was given in terms of epsilon_{t-1}.
Is this a typo?  Should it mean "z_{t-1}"?


Am 2014-06-14 7:25 PM, schrieb Johannes Moser:
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No, it doesn't "have to be" expressed in that way...but instead of
sleeping on it and writing ANOTHER email to this list before your first
one was answered, you could perhaps have looked at the source code, seen
how it was done, adjusted what you want for your own purpose or if you
found something which merited serious rethink, suggest a patch to the
developer.

-Alexios
On 15/06/2014 09:53, Johannes Moser wrote:
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For those interested in news impact, I actually implemented a 
rugarch-based model for analysis of macroeconomic announcements:
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2364077

Regards, Alec
On 06/15/2014 4:53 AM, Johannes Moser wrote: