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Rugarch:garch estimates
2 messages · Evelyn Nyamadi, Alexios Ghalanos
Any probability model is unlikely to be the true DGP, but rather an approximation to it...which is why White (1982) suggested the use of the "robust" standard errors since they give asymptotically valid confidence intervals for the 'approximate-model' parameters, minimizing the information distance between the true probability measure and the quasi-likelihood...all of which is available in any standard econometrics textbook...as to what to consider, it depends on what you want to do. There are a host of other tests which are displayed in the summary which should provide further guidance about which model to choose (e.g. sign bias) or distribution (gof test). Note that h/w questions should not be posted to this forum, and posting the same message more than once is considered rude. -Alexios
On 07/11/2012 15:32, Evelyn Nyamadi wrote:
Dear All, Please, I am using the rugarch package for a univariate garch estimation. I learnt the optimal parameter estimation is based on MLE and the Robust standard error is based on QMLE. However, I have problem with choice of model since the MLE yields significant estimates and the QMLE yields insignificant estimates for some models but not all. Actually, I consider sGARCH, EGARCH and TGARCH. Please, any assistance as to how to proceed further to select the best models? Should I consider the result based on the MLE only or QMLE. Hope to hear from you all regards, Evelyn