An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: <https://stat.ethz.ch/pipermail/r-sig-finance/attachments/20090628/3cc29689/attachment.html>
Creating a VCEM data generating process
2 messages · Mark Leeds, Ron Michael
Thanks Statquant for this reply, however it is still not clear. Suppose I have following theoretical DGP : deltaY[t] = alpha + PI * Y[t-1] + A1 * deltaY[t-1] + A2 * deltaY[t-2] + A3 * deltaY[t-3] + epsilon[t] Next suppose, I have chosen some particular matrices as coefficient matrices and taken them as population value. However how can I make it sure that DGP has some unit root, with those arbitrarily chosen coef. matrices? My finding was that, if I chose some arbitrary matrices and then solve the ch. equation, I do not get some solutions as 1 and rests are outside the range [-1, 1]. The steps that I thought of are : 1. Choose some matrices for alpha, PI, A1, A2, A3 (I need to find those!!!) such that ch. equation gives some roots as "1" & rests are outside the range [-1, 1]. 2. Generate 1,000 realizations each with size 100 (say) 3. For each realization, re-estimate the coefficients. 4. Analyze the distribution of the coef. Someone might find it as homework, however it is not. Currently I am studying Lutkepohl and some asymptotic dist. are discussed here. I want to get some empirical match. Any idea?
statquant wrote:
hi ron : the simple vecm is 1) delta y_t = delta x_t + alpha(y_t-1 - beta*x_t-1) + epsilon_yt? ( but check this to make sure ). so, first generate x_t's that are I(1) by generating x_t = x_t -1 + epsilon_xt Then. given the x_t's,? pick some beta and an an alpha, and generate the y_t's based? on 1). this will give you y_t and x_t? that are I(1) and cointegrated by definition. the multi vecm is more complex but the idea is the same. On Jun 28, 2009, RON70 <ron_michael70 at yahoo.com> wrote: Hi all, Can anyone here please help me how to create a DGP which corresponds to VECM (Vector error correction) ? Actually I want to define a arbitrary VECM as a DGP and then study the properties of it's realizations. However I can not construct an arbitrary VECM from my own, especially it's coefficients, which lead to strictly I(1) process of individual variable. Thanks and regards, -- View this message in context: http://www.nabble.com/Creating-a-VCEM-data-generating-process-tp24243230p24243230.html Sent from the Rmetrics mailing list archive at Nabble.com.
_______________________________________________ R-SIG-Finance at stat.math.ethz.ch mailing list https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-finance -- Subscriber-posting only. -- If you want to post, subscribe first. _______________________________________________ R-SIG-Finance at stat.math.ethz.ch mailing list https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-finance -- Subscriber-posting only. -- If you want to post, subscribe first.
View this message in context: http://www.nabble.com/Re%3A--R-sig-finance--Creating-a-VCEM-data-generating%09process-tp24244254p24245075.html Sent from the Rmetrics mailing list archive at Nabble.com.