centering explanatory variables around spatial lag
List, When the influence of explanatory variables "spills over" into adjacent or proximate spatial units, one way to model this would be to include a spatially lagged explanatory variable (WX). If there exists a significant spatially lagged association, then (it would seem to me) the influence of X would be biased if it is correlated with WX (which it would be if X was non_randomly distributed in space). In other words, the effect of X is confounded with WX if the two are correlated AND both have independent impacts on the outcome. It would seem that a properly specified model would include both the effects of X and WX. One potential problem is that X and WX maybe highly correlated leading to instability in the estimation of their independent effects. It seems a solution, analogous to what is often done in multi-level models, is to center X on its spatial average, WX. Thus, yhat = b0 + b1(X - WX) + b2(WX). where the influence of WX is now a function of two parameters: (b2-b1)WX and the null H0:b2-b1 = 0 Is there a reason not to do this with spatially lagged explanatory variables? Is there any literature on this? I have an empirical example in which the results from centering versus non centering differ dramatically, so I want to make sure that the situation is analogous to the multi-level case before proceeding. I could do some simulation, but I thought I would ask the list first. thanks! Sam
********Note the new contact information******* Samuel H. Field, Ph.D. Senior Research Investigator CHERP/Division of Internal Medicine - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia VA Medical Center 3900 Woodland Ave (9 East) Philadelphia, PA 19104 (215) 823-5800 EXT. 6155 (Office) (215) 823-6330 (Fax)