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[R-meta] Rationale for performing a moderator test without heterogeneity

2 messages · racasuso, Michael Dewey

#
Dear all,

I am performing a meta-analysis on the effects of muscle disuse on 
muscle loss. We choose age, duration of the intervention and initial 
muscle strength as a priory moderators. The meta-analysis for muscle 
loss is as follows:
Random-Effects Model (k = 30; tau^2 estimator: DL)
   logLik  deviance       AIC       BIC      AICc
-17.9973   27.8366   39.9946   42.7970   40.4391
   tau^2 (estimated amount of total heterogeneity): 0 (SE = 0.0511)
tau (square root of estimated tau^2 value):      0
I^2 (total heterogeneity / total variability):   0.00%
H^2 (total variability / sampling variability):  1.00
Test for Heterogeneity:
Q(df = 29) = 27.8366, p-val = 0.5267
Model Results:
estimate      se     zval    pval    ci.lb    ci.ub
-0.3986  0.0803  -4.9619  <.0001  -0.5561  -0.2412  ***

My first question is if there is any rationale to further perform the 
moderator test. In fact, when I perform it for initial force the test of 
moderators is significant. How can I interpret this?

Second, I am a little bit confused on how to interpret the test for 
moderators when I perform it for each variable in separate and when all 
moderators are analysed together. For instance, when I perform the 
moderators test for muscle strength it is significant; however, when 
both duration and strength are introduced in the model while the 
moderator test is significant, only duration reached a significant 
effect.

Thank you very much,
Kind regards
#
Comments in-line
On 05/03/2022 15:34, racasuso wrote:
If you had decided a priori to test those moderators then you would 
usually do that irrespective of observed heterogeneity and report the 
results. It can happen that the amount of heterogeneity is not 
sufficient for the Q value to exceed some level of statistical 
significance but there is still enough for the moderators to explain 
some of it.
Suppose you include two moderators, A and B. The overall test is a test 
of whether they together account for sufficient variation. The 
individual test for A is a test of whether, if you already have B in the 
model, adding A adds anything. Similarly for the test of B. It can 
happen that, if A and B are closely related that neither A nor B is 
individually significant but their combination is. Suppose in your case 
you had two measures of muscle strength, left hand and right hand. 
Knowing left right adds little since (I assume) they are correlated and 
vice versa. Together on the other hand they might be massively important.

Michael