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random factor variance

On 20/05/2009, at 9:35 PM, Jo?o R. wrote:

            
Because the value can't go below zero, it may end up as zero. Even if  
the true value is small but non-zero then sampling variation may cause  
the estimate to be zero.
Think about a population and then dividing it randomly into a number  
of groups. I will assume normal distributions but the same ideas apply  
to binomial etc. We would expect that the groups will have different  
means, and we know how they will vary based on the population  
variance. When we fit a random effect the question we are asking is do  
these vary more than predicted from the population, in which case our  
random effect variance will be greater than zero.
I suspect the problem is that your model is overfitted, because of the  
number of possible covariates, and the stepwise selection it has  
constructed a model that fits well without need for a random effect.

Ken