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Error: In mer_finalize(ans) : false convergence (8)

4 messages · Sarah Dryhurst, ONKELINX, Thierry

#
Sarah,

Always keep the mailing list in cc while replying.

After having a close look to you design I would suggest to go for one of the models below. If you are interested how the effect of TMT1 and TMT2 change in time go for Mod1. Go for Mod2 is you expect that their effect remains constant over time. Otherwise go for Mod3.

lmerdat$SpuplotID <- with(lmerdat, interaction(Block, TMT1, TMT2))
Mod1 <- lmer(log(Y) ~ TMT1 * TMT2 * Year + (1|Block/SubplotID), data = lmerdat, verbose = TRUE)
Mod2 <- lmer(log(Y) ~ TMT1 * TMT2 + (1|Block/SubplotID) + (1|Year), data = lmerdat, verbose = TRUE)
Mod3 <- lmer(log(Y) ~ TMT1 * TMT2 + (1|Block/SubplotID) + (0 + TMT1 :  TMT2|Year), data = lmerdat, verbose = TRUE)

Assuming Year is continuous Mod1 requires 10 parameters to be estimated. Your design yields 24 observations per year. Unless you have at least 4 years of data, the model is too complex for your data. You might want to look at the quote of Fisher in my signature...

Best regards,

ir. Thierry Onkelinx
Instituut voor natuur- en bosonderzoek / Research Institute for Nature and Forest
team Biometrie & Kwaliteitszorg / team Biometrics & Quality Assurance
Kliniekstraat 25
1070 Anderlecht
Belgium
+ 32 2 525 02 51
+ 32 54 43 61 85
Thierry.Onkelinx at inbo.be
www.inbo.be

To call in the statistician after the experiment is done may be no more than asking him to perform a post-mortem examination: he may be able to say what the experiment died of.
~ Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher

The plural of anecdote is not data.
~ Roger Brinner

The combination of some data and an aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can be extracted from a given body of data.
~ John Tukey


-----Oorspronkelijk bericht-----
Van: Sarah Dryhurst [mailto:s.dryhurst at gmail.com]
Verzonden: vrijdag 26 juli 2013 12:07
Aan: ONKELINX, Thierry
Onderwerp: Re: [R-sig-ME] Error: In mer_finalize(ans) : false convergence (8)

Dear Thierry,

Thanks so much for you reply,  Apologies - I should have explained the experiment better.  I have:

6 blocks
2 plots per block: one receiving one level of TMT1, one as a TMT1 control
2 subplots per plot: one receiving TMT2, one as TMT2 control.

The response is a measure of biomass (production) in each subplot I tried removing it as a fixed effect as you suggested, and the model does indeed converge.  However I'm interested in the effects of both
TMT1 and TMT2 and how they might interact, so I want to retain TMT1 as both a fixed effect and a random effect nested with block (due to the nature of the design)...  Perhaps I could remove year as a fixed effect?  Forgive me if I am making a silly mistake here: still learning this stuff!

Thanks again

Sarah
On Fri, Jul 26, 2013 at 9:16 AM, ONKELINX, Thierry <Thierry.ONKELINX at inbo.be> wrote:
--
NERC PhD Student
Community Ecology and Global Change
Department of Biology
Imperial College, London
email: sarah.dryhurst08 at imperial.ac.uk
* * * * * * * * * * * * * D I S C L A I M E R * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Dit bericht en eventuele bijlagen geven enkel de visie van de schrijver weer en binden het INBO onder geen enkel beding, zolang dit bericht niet bevestigd is door een geldig ondertekend document.
The views expressed in this message and any annex are purely those of the writer and may not be regarded as stating an official position of INBO, as long as the message is not confirmed by a duly signed document.
#
Hi Thierry,

Sorry about that.  Can I ask you to explain to be the reason behind
the specification of the interaction for "SubplotID"?

The number of parameter estimates is indeed an issue.  The experiment
will actually be running for a few more years so that I can get plenty
more data, but unfortunately for the purpose of my thesis I have to
write up what i've got so far...  I have some baseline 2010 data that
I may be able to include also though, as a fourth year.

Thanks again for your help!

Sarah

On Fri, Jul 26, 2013 at 12:35 PM, ONKELINX, Thierry
<Thierry.ONKELINX at inbo.be> wrote:

  
    
#
The interaction() is a fancy way of creating a unique ID for each subplot. I presume that each subplot gets the same TMT1 and TMT2 over time.

It would have been beneficial to consult a statistician before starting the experiment. The sample size is too small for the design or the design is too complex for the sample size. This issue can be addressed prior to starting the experiment by simplifying the design (e.g. drop either TMT1 or TMT2), increasing the sample size or both.

ir. Thierry Onkelinx
Instituut voor natuur- en bosonderzoek / Research Institute for Nature and Forest
team Biometrie & Kwaliteitszorg / team Biometrics & Quality Assurance
Kliniekstraat 25
1070 Anderlecht
Belgium
+ 32 2 525 02 51
+ 32 54 43 61 85
Thierry.Onkelinx at inbo.be
www.inbo.be

To call in the statistician after the experiment is done may be no more than asking him to perform a post-mortem examination: he may be able to say what the experiment died of.
~ Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher

The plural of anecdote is not data.
~ Roger Brinner

The combination of some data and an aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can be extracted from a given body of data.
~ John Tukey


-----Oorspronkelijk bericht-----
Van: Sarah Dryhurst [mailto:s.dryhurst at gmail.com]
Verzonden: vrijdag 26 juli 2013 13:57
Aan: ONKELINX, Thierry
CC: r-sig-mixed-models at r-project.org
Onderwerp: Re: [R-sig-ME] Error: In mer_finalize(ans) : false convergence (8)

Hi Thierry,

Sorry about that.  Can I ask you to explain to be the reason behind the specification of the interaction for "SubplotID"?

The number of parameter estimates is indeed an issue.  The experiment will actually be running for a few more years so that I can get plenty more data, but unfortunately for the purpose of my thesis I have to write up what i've got so far...  I have some baseline 2010 data that I may be able to include also though, as a fourth year.

Thanks again for your help!

Sarah
On Fri, Jul 26, 2013 at 12:35 PM, ONKELINX, Thierry <Thierry.ONKELINX at inbo.be> wrote:
--
NERC PhD Student
Community Ecology and Global Change
Department of Biology
Imperial College, London
email: sarah.dryhurst08 at imperial.ac.uk
* * * * * * * * * * * * * D I S C L A I M E R * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Dit bericht en eventuele bijlagen geven enkel de visie van de schrijver weer en binden het INBO onder geen enkel beding, zolang dit bericht niet bevestigd is door een geldig ondertekend document.
The views expressed in this message and any annex are purely those of the writer and may not be regarded as stating an official position of INBO, as long as the message is not confirmed by a duly signed document.
#
Without the three way interaction I have 7 parameters, which hopefully
*should* be just about ok given my 72 datapoints (unless I am
misinterpreting here, which I may be, being new to all this!).

There is still a convergence issue though, sadly,  even with the model
1 approach you suggested.

Thanks for all the help!

Best wishes,

Sarah

On Fri, Jul 26, 2013 at 1:20 PM, ONKELINX, Thierry
<Thierry.ONKELINX at inbo.be> wrote: