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Help with Interpretation of LMER Output--Correctly Formatted Post (I Hope)

AvianResearchDivision <segerfan83 at ...> writes:
I would actually say that this unbelievable uncertainty is more
widespread than that.  Should one do stepwise regression (or the
milder form under the rubric of "find the minimal adequate model"?
Pick a full model and stick to it?  Use model averaging?
The answer differs a bit depending on whether you are thinking
about averaging over random effects or fixed effects.  If the former
(random effects), then you just need to compute with the random
effects set to zero (to get an unweighted population-level average);
you can do this fairly easily with predict.merMod in the development
version of lme4, or just compute predicted values from the fixed
effects, ignoring the random effects in the prediction.  For fixed
effects, if you set options(contrasts=contr.sum) **before** fitting
the model then the intercept will represent the population-level
average.